Ureña vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
URE
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
URE
2 - 1
ZUL
37%
25%
39%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 0
URE
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 3
URE
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
URE
1 - 3
TAC
16%
24%
61%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
LAR
3 - 0
ATL
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 0
LAR
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
LAR
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 2
DEP
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
LAR
18%
25%
57%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |