Ureña vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
46.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
LLA
2 - 2
URE
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
URE
2 - 2
MIN
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
TAC
2 - 1
URE
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
URE
2 - 0
ESC
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 2
URE
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 5
CFC
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 0
TUC
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 0
ZAM
29%
24%
46%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
ZUL
2 - 2
CFC
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |