Ureña vs At. Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
TRU
2 - 0
URE
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
URE
0 - 6
DEP
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ZUL
1 - 2
URE
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
URE
55%
23%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
URE
1 - 1
CFC
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
POR
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
TRU
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 0
ATL
31%
24%
46%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
ESC
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 0
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |