Ureña vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
39%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
CFC
2 - 1
URE
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
URE
0 - 0
LLA
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MIN
4 - 3
URE
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
URE
0 - 2
TAC
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 3
URE
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ARA
3 - 3
ATL
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 2
ZAM
26%
28%
47%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ZUL
2 - 1
ARA
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
DEP
28%
29%
43%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
ARA
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |