Ureña vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
URE
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
URE
1 - 1
POR
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ZUL
4 - 0
URE
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
URE
2 - 1
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
URE
1 - 0
MIN
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 1
ESC
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
ARA
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 1
MIR
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 2
ARA
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ARA
4 - 0
POR
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +2 |