Urduliz FT vs CD Padura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
16º
15º
16
3º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 74 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 56 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 40 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 30 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 19 |
18º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
77% | 87.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urduliz FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DAC
3 - 1
URD
51%
22%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
URD
2 - 1
CDD
25%
26%
49%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SNT
2 - 0
URD
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BEA
4 - 1
URD
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
URD
1 - 0
PAS
30%
26%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
CD Padura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LON
1 - 0
CDP
57%
23%
20%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CDP
1 - 3
ATX
32%
27%
42%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DAC
1 - 0
CDP
47%
23%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CSV
0 - 1
CDP
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 2
CDD
35%
27%
38%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |