Urduliz FT vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urduliz FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CDU
1 - 0
URD
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
URD
3 - 3
SOD
32%
27%
41%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
AFT
0 - 3
URD
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
URD
1 - 0
PAS
19%
25%
56%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
URD
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ARI
0 - 1
CDV
16%
23%
61%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CDU
0 - 1
ARI
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ARI
1 - 3
SOD
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AFT
1 - 2
ARI
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ARI
1 - 1
PAS
20%
24%
56%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |