Urayasu vs Honda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urayasu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
URA
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
REA
2 - 1
URA
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
URA
0 - 2
HON
42%
27%
31%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FCI
1 - 1
URA
76%
16%
9%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
TOC
0 - 0
URA
20%
19%
61%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
HON
1 - 1
VER
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 4
HON
15%
20%
65%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
HON
5 - 1
YOK
77%
16%
8%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
TOC
0 - 4
HON
6%
14%
80%
|
58 | 23 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
VAN
2 - 0
HON
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |