Urayasu vs Minebea Mitsumi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
16º
8º
15
7º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 62 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 52 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 51 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 50 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 49 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 44 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 41 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 22 |
16º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 30% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urayasu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
TIA
1 - 4
URA
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
URA
2 - 1
MIO
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VER
2 - 2
URA
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 0
URA
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
URA
0 - 1
HON
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Minebea Mitsumi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HON
0 - 0
CRS
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
KUS
3 - 2
HON
65%
22%
13%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
HON
2 - 3
MAR
26%
27%
47%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HON
0 - 1
TIA
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MIO
5 - 0
HON
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |