Urayasu vs Minebea Mitsumi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
16º
8º
22
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urayasu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
TIA
1 - 4
URA
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
URA
2 - 1
MIO
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VER
2 - 2
URA
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 0
URA
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
URA
0 - 1
HON
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Minebea Mitsumi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HON
0 - 0
CRS
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
KUS
3 - 2
HON
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
HON
2 - 3
MAR
26%
27%
47%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HON
0 - 1
TIA
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MIO
5 - 0
HON
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |