Urayasu vs Fagiano Okayama II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urayasu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
RKD
4 - 2
URA
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
VER
1 - 1
URA
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
URA
3 - 1
MIO
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
NAR
2 - 0
URA
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
URA
0 - 2
YOK
71%
19%
11%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
REA
3 - 0
FAG
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MIO
3 - 1
FAG
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
FAG
1 - 2
NAR
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
YOK
1 - 0
FAG
76%
16%
8%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
FAG
1 - 2
MAR
24%
22%
55%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |