Urawa Reds vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SHI
3 - 3
URA
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
URA
4 - 0
JUB
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SAG
1 - 0
URA
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
URA
0 - 0
VVA
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
URA
2 - 0
KAW
41%
25%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TOK
0 - 0
OIT
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
TOK
42%
27%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
TOK
2 - 1
OMI
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
KYO
0 - 1
TOK
25%
28%
46%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
TOK
4 - 3
ALB
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |