Urawa Reds vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
URA
0 - 3
JUB
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
URA
0 - 1
KAA
29%
25%
47%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCY
1 - 2
URA
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
URA
0 - 1
OMI
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
URA
4 - 1
MSK
87%
10%
3%
|
76 | 9 | 67 | 0 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
KYO
1 - 0
TOK
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TOK
2 - 1
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCT
1 - 1
TOK
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
TOC
2 - 4
TOK
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TOK
1 - 2
KAT
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |