Urawa Reds vs Tokushima Vortis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
OMI
1 - 2
URA
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
URA
2 - 0
ALB
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
URA
1 - 1
SHI
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FCT
0 - 1
URA
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
URA
1 - 1
KAA
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
GIF
2 - 1
TOK
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
TOK
2 - 3
TOK
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
EHI
1 - 0
TOK
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
TOK
4 - 0
TOC
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
THE
1 - 4
TOK
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |