Urawa Reds vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SHO
2 - 2
URA
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
URA
1 - 1
VEN
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FCT
3 - 2
URA
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
URA
2 - 1
TOC
88%
10%
2%
|
78 | 40 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
KAW
3 - 2
URA
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
OMI
2 - 5
FCT
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
OMI
0 - 2
VEG
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 0
OMI
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
OMI
4 - 0
FAG
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
OMI
1 - 0
FCY
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |