League Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Urawa Reds vs JEF United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
NAG
0 - 2
URA
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
URA
2 - 2
VIS
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
URA
2 - 1
FCT
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
URA
1 - 0
SHI
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
SHI
0 - 1
URA
26%
25%
50%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ALB
1 - 1
JEF
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
JEF
1 - 2
CER
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
KAR
1 - 2
JEF
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
JUB
2 - 2
JEF
64%
20%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
JEF
3 - 2
JUB
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |