Urawa Reds vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
GAM
3 - 2
URA
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
URA
1 - 1
KAR
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
NAG
3 - 0
URA
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
TOK
1 - 3
URA
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
URA
3 - 3
JEF
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
FCT
3 - 2
NAG
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
JEF
2 - 2
FCT
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
FCT
2 - 1
GAM
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
KAA
0 - 0
FCT
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FCT
1 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |