League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Urawa Reds vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
JEF
1 - 2
URA
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
URA
3 - 2
VEG
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
KAR
1 - 1
URA
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
URA
0 - 1
FCT
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
URA
2 - 1
OIT
20%
26%
55%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
JUB
1 - 0
FCT
81%
14%
6%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
FCT
1 - 0
KYO
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
FCT
0 - 0
SHI
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
URA
0 - 1
FCT
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
FCT
2 - 0
VEG
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +2 |