Urawa Reds vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
VEN
0 - 1
URA
6%
18%
76%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
URA
2 - 2
OMI
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
URA
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CER
4 - 2
URA
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
URA
2 - 3
BVB
10%
16%
75%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
FCB
5 - 0
CHA
96%
3%
1%
|
76 | 95 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
COT
2 - 0
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
BAH
56%
25%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 2
ATL
66%
22%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 0
DYJ
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |