AFC Champions League Elite Final
Global 2-1
Urawa Reds vs Al-Hilal SFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ALH
1 - 1
URA
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KAW
1 - 1
URA
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
URA
1 - 1
SHO
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
URA
4 - 1
CON
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
NAG
0 - 0
URA
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Hilal SFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ALH
1 - 1
URA
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALH
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
ALH
2 - 0
ALN
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 0
ALH
21%
25%
55%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
ALH
2 - 2
ALT
64%
21%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |