Ural II vs Uralets TS Nizhnyi Tagil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
8º
3º
13
5º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
26 | 56 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 50 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 49 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 46 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 42 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 39 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 35 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 33 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 29 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 23 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 21 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 20 |
14º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ural II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
URA
2 - 2
UNT
28%
21%
51%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
URA
1 - 2
DIN
44%
23%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
NOS
0 - 2
URA
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FKK
3 - 1
URA
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
URA
1 - 1
ORE
71%
17%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Uralets TS Nizhnyi Tagil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
URA
2 - 2
UNT
28%
21%
51%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
NOS
0 - 0
UNT
13%
15%
72%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
TMO
1 - 7
UNT
4%
9%
87%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 4
UNT
6%
11%
83%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
UNT
4 - 2
RMO
93%
5%
2%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | +1 |