Ural II vs Sokol Kazan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1316%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
8º
5º
39
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 56 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 54 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 47 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 43 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 40 |
7º
|
46% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 30 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 30 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 18 |
14º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ural II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
VNO
0 - 2
URA
35%
23%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
URA
2 - 1
LAD
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 0
URA
30%
23%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
URA
3 - 0
FKA
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
URA
1 - 1
UNT
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sokol Kazan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
KAZ
2 - 2
DIN
14%
18%
68%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RKZ
0 - 1
KAZ
67%
17%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
KAZ
1 - 1
KRS
19%
19%
62%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
KAZ
67%
21%
12%
|
7 | 62 | 55 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 1
KAZ
47%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |