Ural II vs Lada Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
8º
7º
26
6º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 47 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 43 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 43 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
77% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 32 |
8º
|
63% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
12º
|
49.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 23 |
13º
|
65% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 17 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ural II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 0
URA
30%
23%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
URA
3 - 0
FKA
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
URA
1 - 1
UNT
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
URA
2 - 2
UNT
28%
21%
51%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
URA
1 - 2
DIN
44%
23%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lada Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAD
0 - 3
DIN
34%
23%
43%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RKZ
2 - 1
LAD
13%
15%
72%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LAD
0 - 0
KRS
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SKC
3 - 1
LAD
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCC
4 - 1
LAD
85%
12%
4%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |