Ural II vs FK Nizhny Novgorod II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+134%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
8º
7º
19
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ural II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 3
URA
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
URA
0 - 0
NOS
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KAZ
1 - 0
URA
28%
22%
49%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
URA
1 - 1
VNO
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LAD
2 - 0
URA
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
FK Nizhny Novgorod II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 5
DIN
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RKZ
4 - 0
NOV
56%
20%
23%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 2
KRS
35%
23%
42%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PER
2 - 0
NOV
65%
22%
14%
|
20 | 68 | 48 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 1
UNT
12%
16%
73%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +3 |