Ural II vs Dinamo Barnaul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
8º
5º
23
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 56 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 54 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 47 |
3º
|
61% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 43 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 40 |
7º
|
46% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 30 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 30 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 18 |
14º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ural II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
NOS
1 - 2
URA
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
URA
1 - 1
KAZ
86%
10%
5%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VNO
0 - 2
URA
35%
23%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
URA
2 - 1
LAD
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 0
URA
30%
23%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Dinamo Barnaul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 2
DIN
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RKZ
1 - 1
DIN
11%
16%
73%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KRS
1 - 1
DIN
14%
17%
68%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
PER
3 - 1
DIN
72%
19%
9%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 2
NOV
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 10 | 30 | 0 |