Ural II vs Dinamo Barnaul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10º
12º
11º
28
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ural II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCN
2 - 1
URA
61%
22%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ZEN
2 - 1
URA
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
URA
0 - 1
PER
9%
21%
70%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ORE
1 - 1
URA
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
URA
0 - 3
FCC
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Barnaul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
DIN
1 - 1
TYU
5%
14%
81%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
DIN
1 - 1
MIA
22%
21%
57%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DIN
0 - 0
FCN
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FKK
0 - 5
DIN
86%
11%
4%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
FTB
2 - 1
DIN
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |