Ural II vs Amkar Perm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
66.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
8º
7º
48
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 47 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 43 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 43 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
77% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 32 |
8º
|
63% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 27 |
11º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
12º
|
49.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 23 |
13º
|
65% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 17 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 75.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ural II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
URA
12%
18%
71%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
URA
2 - 1
DIN
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
NOS
1 - 2
URA
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
URA
1 - 1
KAZ
86%
10%
5%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VNO
0 - 2
URA
35%
23%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Amkar Perm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
DIN
77%
17%
6%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PER
2 - 0
RKZ
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 15 | 50 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
KRS
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 19 | 45 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
UNT
0 - 1
PER
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 1
PER
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 11 | 53 | 0 |