UPV Vasconia vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UPV Vasconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1944 |
UPV
3 - 1
RUN
18%
19%
63%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1944 |
ALA
4 - 0
TOL
82%
11%
7%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SDI
3 - 0
ALA
44%
22%
35%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ALA
1 - 0
SDE
67%
17%
16%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
IZA
0 - 2
ALA
20%
21%
60%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
ALA
3 - 0
TOL
84%
10%
6%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |