Upington City FC vs Pretoria University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+203%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
15º
6º
49
1º
16º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Upington City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
UCF
2 - 0
MAG
11%
20%
69%
|
10 | 56 | 46 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
UCF
73%
19%
9%
|
10 | 66 | 56 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UCF
1 - 1
PCF
12%
21%
67%
|
9 | 56 | 47 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
UCF
80%
14%
6%
|
8 | 58 | 50 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
UCF
78%
15%
7%
|
8 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PRE
0 - 1
CST
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
JDR
0 - 0
PRE
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PRE
1 - 0
BLA
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
PRE
1 - 0
PCF
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 0
PRE
11%
21%
68%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |