Upington City FC vs Pretoria Callies FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
67.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+203%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
15º
6º
34
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Upington City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
UCF
80%
14%
6%
|
8 | 58 | 50 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
UCF
78%
15%
7%
|
8 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UCF
2 - 3
ORC
12%
16%
72%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HLF
1 - 1
UCF
81%
14%
5%
|
8 | 57 | 49 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UCF
2 - 1
VFA
9%
19%
72%
|
7 | 56 | 49 | +1 |
Matches
Pretoria Callies FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
PRE
1 - 0
PCF
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
PCF
0 - 0
MIL
78%
16%
6%
|
56 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
PCF
0 - 0
JDR
37%
30%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VFA
1 - 1
PCF
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 0
PCF
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |