Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-4
UP Langreo vs Santoña CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ZAM
3 - 1
UPL
39%
31%
30%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
UPL
1 - 1
LOG
78%
16%
6%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
CAU
1 - 0
UPL
41%
30%
29%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
RUN
3 - 1
UPL
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
UPL
2 - 2
CDO
46%
28%
27%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Santoña CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
SAN
0 - 1
CEL
65%
23%
12%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
GRA
1 - 0
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
SAN
1 - 0
COM
28%
30%
42%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +2 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
SAN
3 - 0
SPO
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
NOI
3 - 1
SAN
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |