UP Langreo vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
19.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
SSC
2 - 1
UPL
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
UPL
0 - 1
ATH
37%
29%
34%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
UPL
0 - 2
TRJ
52%
28%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
SAN
2 - 0
UPL
23%
23%
53%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
CDT
1 - 1
UPL
74%
18%
9%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
LUG
3 - 1
CDT
35%
33%
32%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
LUG
1 - 0
DEP
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
HUE
1 - 0
LUG
67%
21%
12%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
LUG
1 - 0
ZAM
59%
26%
15%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
LUG
1 - 1
COM
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |