Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-2
UP Langreo vs Eibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
MLL
1 - 0
UPL
69%
21%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
UPL
4 - 0
CUL
36%
30%
34%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1972 |
EIB
1 - 1
UPL
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
UPL
1 - 2
CAD
44%
30%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
VAD
2 - 0
UPL
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
EIB
2 - 0
COL
59%
24%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
HUE
3 - 1
EIB
57%
25%
19%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1972 |
EIB
1 - 1
UPL
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
OSA
3 - 3
EIB
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
EIB
7 - 0
PUE
36%
29%
36%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +3 |