Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-2
UP Langreo vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
UPL
0 - 0
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
ARE
1 - 0
UPL
33%
32%
35%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
UPL
1 - 0
ATH
62%
22%
15%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
LPA
1 - 1
UPL
33%
24%
44%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
CAS
2 - 0
UPL
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
CAS
3 - 0
NAV
51%
26%
23%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
RAY
0 - 2
CAS
66%
21%
13%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
CAS
1 - 0
GIM
53%
25%
22%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAS
71%
19%
11%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
CAS
2 - 0
UPL
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | +2 |