UP Langreo vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
LPA
1 - 1
UPL
33%
24%
44%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
CAS
2 - 0
UPL
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
UPL
1 - 0
ATB
68%
20%
11%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
RCF
1 - 4
UPL
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
MIR
1 - 2
UPL
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
ATH
4 - 0
SPB
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
ATH
5 - 3
BFC
88%
9%
4%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
CDG
0 - 3
ATH
34%
31%
35%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
ATH
1 - 2
CUL
52%
27%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1979 |
CUL
3 - 0
ATH
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |