UP Langreo vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
BAS
2 - 1
UPL
43%
28%
29%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
UPL
1 - 0
SSC
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
CFP
3 - 2
UPL
40%
30%
31%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
UPL
3 - 0
HUE
65%
23%
12%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
GIM
0 - 1
UPL
13%
18%
70%
|
48 | 14 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
ATH
3 - 3
TRJ
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
RUN
2 - 0
ATH
38%
30%
32%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
ATH
2 - 0
CDO
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
TUD
1 - 0
ATH
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
VDB
0 - 1
ATH
15%
20%
65%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |