Unterhaching vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unterhaching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
UNT
2 - 1
WEH
65%
22%
14%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
BAY
0 - 2
UNT
27%
25%
49%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
UNT
3 - 1
KAI
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
SSV
2 - 0
UNT
31%
25%
45%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
UNT
2 - 2
HOF
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
M05
2 - 0
WAL
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
FCU
0 - 2
M05
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
FCU
3 - 1
M05
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
M05
1 - 1
SGF
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
MSV
1 - 1
M05
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |