UWI vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UWI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REN
1 - 2
UWI
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
UWI
44%
30%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
UWI
1 - 0
CAV
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UWI
2 - 0
ARN
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 0
UWI
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
WAT
3 - 0
BOY
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
WAT
3 - 2
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
WAT
48%
29%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LIO
2 - 0
WAT
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
WAT
2 - 1
RIV
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |