UC Dublin vs Treaty United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
8º
2º
32
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 60 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 56 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 55 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 52 |
5º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 48 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 43 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
8º
|
76.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 26 |
10º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 2
ATH
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
COB
2 - 2
UCD
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
UCD
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
UCD
2 - 1
KEF
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
CAO
0 - 0
UCD
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
COB
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
TRE
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
WEX
0 - 1
TRE
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 0
BRW
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
KEF
2 - 1
TRE
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -1 |