UC Dublin vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
74.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 0
USC
82%
11%
7%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SMA
3 - 0
UCD
7%
10%
83%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | -3 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
UCD
1 - 5
DUN
11%
22%
67%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SHE
3 - 2
UCD
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 2
CAO
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 2
STP
4%
11%
85%
|
74 | 19 | 55 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
STP
1 - 1
BOH
52%
23%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
USC
3 - 3
STP
4%
10%
86%
|
74 | 12 | 62 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BOH
1 - 3
STP
48%
23%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
DER
3 - 0
STP
45%
27%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |