UC Dublin vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
UCD
0 - 2
DRO
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SLR
2 - 2
UCD
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
UCD
0 - 2
DER
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
UCD
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
UCD
1 - 1
BOH
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
SHR
1 - 0
STP
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
STP
0 - 0
DUN
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
STP
1 - 1
DRO
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
DER
2 - 1
STP
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
STP
2 - 0
UCD
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |