UC Dublin vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 1
UCD
83%
13%
4%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
WAT
1 - 0
UCD
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2019 |
UCD
0 - 1
CAO
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
UCD
0 - 1
SHR
28%
29%
44%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
CAO
2 - 0
UCD
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
STP
1 - 0
FIN
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
SLR
1 - 1
STP
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
STP
1 - 1
CAO
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 0
STP
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
STP
1 - 0
DER
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |