UC Dublin vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
49.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
UCD
3 - 0
DUN
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
UCD
2 - 0
BOH
19%
26%
56%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
BRW
4 - 0
UCD
55%
22%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
UCD
2 - 1
GAL
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
UCD
73%
19%
9%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
BOH
0 - 0
STP
41%
29%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 2
STP
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
CAO
0 - 1
STP
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
STP
1 - 1
SHR
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
BRW
0 - 3
STP
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |