UC Dublin vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
BOH
3 - 1
UCD
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
UCD
1 - 1
DRO
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
UCD
2 - 3
BRW
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2010 |
SHR
4 - 1
UCD
67%
22%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
UCD
1 - 2
SFI
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
STP
1 - 3
SHR
42%
29%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 1
STP
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
STP
2 - 0
HFA
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2010 |
SFI
2 - 3
STP
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
STP
0 - 0
SLR
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |