UC Dublin vs Shelbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
58.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
10º
10º
60
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
STP
7 - 0
UCD
76%
17%
8%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
UCD
2 - 1
SLR
18%
25%
57%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SHR
4 - 0
UCD
81%
13%
5%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 1
UCD
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
UCD
1 - 3
STP
13%
22%
66%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
SHE
3 - 4
BOH
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 1
DER
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
STP
1 - 0
SHE
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 1
SLR
50%
26%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
SHE
3 - 2
DRO
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |