UC Dublin vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
8º
2º
24
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
53 | 57 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 49 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 44 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
8º
|
47% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
10º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
UCD
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 3
UCD
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 0
CAO
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
UCD
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 1
KEF
91%
6%
3%
|
47 | 11 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LON
1 - 2
WEX
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LON
1 - 4
CAO
16%
25%
60%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 2
LON
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LON
0 - 3
BRW
36%
25%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
KEF
3 - 0
LON
14%
21%
66%
|
49 | 12 | 37 | -3 |