UC Dublin vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MER
1 - 2
UCD
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
UCD
2 - 0
WEX
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
SHE
2 - 2
UCD
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
UCD
5 - 0
KIL
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
FIN
0 - 5
UCD
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LON
0 - 4
SFI
18%
24%
58%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
MER
0 - 1
LON
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
LON
3 - 0
ATH
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 0
LON
74%
18%
9%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
LON
1 - 2
KIL
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |