UC Dublin vs Kerry FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+575%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
8º
3º
19
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 79 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 61 |
2º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 55 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 50 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 40 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 29 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
87% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
CAO
0 - 0
UCD
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 0
BRW
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 2
UCD
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
UCD
3 - 3
FIN
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 2
UCD
13%
18%
69%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
KEF
2 - 1
TRE
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
COB
1 - 0
KEF
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
KEF
2 - 0
FIN
15%
20%
65%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 0
KEF
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 2
UCD
13%
18%
69%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |