Premier League Promotion Playoffs Final
Global 1-5
UC Dublin vs Galway United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
UCD
1 - 0
DRO
21%
23%
55%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
DER
0 - 1
UCD
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
UCD
0 - 4
CAO
16%
25%
59%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SLR
4 - 0
UCD
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
SHR
3 - 0
UCD
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Galway United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
SHE
1 - 2
GAL
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
GAL
2 - 0
SHE
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GAL
2 - 2
WEX
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
SHE
1 - 1
GAL
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
COB
1 - 2
GAL
25%
24%
52%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |