UC Dublin vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
CAO
2 - 1
UCD
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
UCD
3 - 2
BRA
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
UCD
1 - 0
SLR
18%
26%
57%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
UCD
3 - 0
MAR
75%
16%
10%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
UCD
0 - 2
SHR
16%
25%
59%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
SHA
5 - 1
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
DER
0 - 1
SHA
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
DER
5 - 0
BRW
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
ABE
0 - 5
DER
33%
24%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
ATH
0 - 1
DER
22%
26%
53%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |