UC Dublin vs Cork City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
54.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
8º
3º
49
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 76 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 58 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 57 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 50 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 49 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 43 |
8º
|
52% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 28 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 26 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 97% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
87.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 1
UCD
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 1
KEF
91%
6%
3%
|
47 | 11 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LON
1 - 2
UCD
50%
23%
28%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
COB
1 - 2
UCD
65%
20%
16%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
UCD
3 - 0
ATH
26%
22%
52%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
CAO
3 - 0
COB
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
1 - 1
CAO
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CAO
1 - 0
ATH
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
CAO
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
CAO
2 - 0
BRW
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |